Kerala Assembly Elections 2021 - Post Poll Analysis



Kerala Seat Projection


Party Vote 2021(Forecast) Seats 2021(Forecast)
UDF 34% ± 3% 35 ± 9 (Plus / Minus 9) Seats
BJP 14% ± 3% 3 ± 3 (Plus / Minus 3) Seats
LDF 46% ± 3% 102 ± 9 (Plus / Minus 9) Seats
Others 6% ± 3% 0 ± 3 (Plus / Minus 3) Seats

Analysis on Kerala



1. What had an influence in deciding on your voting pattern?
      Political Party & Candidate : 30%
      Development : 26%
      Corruption : 19%
      Local Issues : 12%
      Any other : 7%

2. Do you want a change of government in the state?
      Yes : 28%
      No : 63%


3. How major caste is moving in this election.


  UDF BJP LDF
Nair 17% 36% 43%
Muslim 53% 5% 36%
Eczhava 17% 23% 57%
Christian 45% 6% 44%
SC 18% 11% 68%


Note for Caste figures:
      1. The total is not 100% because balance is “Other party & DNT”
      2. Margin of Error is ± 3% (Plus / Minus 3%) in caste figures.

 

 






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